Wk43 MacroTechnicals - Dude, Where’s My Correlation?
Rogue correlations, AI credit check, and Energy market pressure continues
Rogue correlations, AI credit check, and Energy market pressure continues
Bond rebound - sentiment fundamentals and fund flows, CPI preview, and some charts we're watching
Why stocks staying resilient will prolong the pressure, not resolve it
Trump has no good options, Energy relief still out of sight
Euro debasement thesis - timing and trading considerations; US equities weakness
Tactical trading plans around FOMC
Energy pushes to new high while VIX makes ytd-lows
Warsh took AI disinflation off the table, said economy at full employment, put emphasis on inflation breadth and price stability being the predominant focus. This is a hike signal...
Failed Bessentvention, ATH crack spreads, Elevated inflation risks, Debasement skepticism
Messy thematic signals - easing macro regimes and low VIX clashes with rising commodity prices
Rates calmer but term premium higher, risk sentiment strong but overly complacent?
Long-end tantrum may be done for now