Wk43 MacroTechnicals - Dude, Where’s My Correlation?

Rogue correlations, AI credit check, and Energy market pressure continues

Wk42 MacroTechnicals - Will Bonds Blowup?

Bond rebound - sentiment fundamentals and fund flows, CPI preview, and some charts we're watching

Wk41 MacroTechnicals - Are We There Yet?

Why stocks staying resilient will prolong the pressure, not resolve it

Wk40 MacroTechnicals - Macro Backdrop Still Bearish For risk

Trump has no good options, Energy relief still out of sight

Wk39 MacroTechnicals - EUR debasement thesis

Euro debasement thesis - timing and trading considerations; US equities weakness

Wk38 MacroTechnicals - FOMC Prep (Free)

Tactical trading plans around FOMC

Wk37 MacroTechnicals - Sleeping VIXy

Energy pushes to new high while VIX makes ytd-lows

Wk36 MacroTechnicals - Warsh, Rinse, Repeat: Inflation Still a Problem

Warsh took AI disinflation off the table, said economy at full employment, put emphasis on inflation breadth and price stability being the predominant focus. This is a hike signal...

Wk35 Weekly MacroTechnicals - Oil Slicks the Long End

Failed Bessentvention, ATH crack spreads, Elevated inflation risks, Debasement skepticism

Wk34 MacroTechnicals - VIX Sleeps While Oil Creeps

Messy thematic signals - easing macro regimes and low VIX clashes with rising commodity prices

Wk33 MacroTechnicals - From Tantrums to Complacency...

Rates calmer but term premium higher, risk sentiment strong but overly complacent?

Wk32 MacroTechnicals - The Credibility Tantrum (That Was)

Long-end tantrum may be done for now

Wk31 MacroTechnicals - 'More' of the Same

Risk view stays bearish: tighter liquidity conditions ongoing AI concerns, weak equity leadership, vol expansion,

Wk30 MacroTechnicals - Disruptive Forces

US–Iran escalation. AI competition.

Wk29 MacroTechnicals - A Crude Awakening

Meaningful risk of bearish regime-shift

Wk28 MacroTechnicals - Hawkwardly Optimistic

Tension between tighter liquidity and positive sentiment continues...

Wk27 MacroTechnicals - The Price of Exceptionalism

Quarter-end review and just more of the same risks - AI capex and model commoditisation, strong growth and inflation, and tigher fincon

Wk26 MacroTechnicals - No Breadth of Fresh Air

Equities firm but leadership narrows as the Fed’s hawkish turn erodes breadth. Beneath the surface, Tighter conditions and AI-profit risks point to a fragile medium-term outlook.

Wk25 MacroTechnicals - Sticky Landing

Deal-on Risk-on is back, yields lower, but don't think the market will be Warshing away hiking risks too soon

Wk24 MacroTechnicals - Trimmed Gets Mean

If CPI confirms bleed through into core, there is nothing Warsh can say or do to convince the market otherwise

Wk23 MacroTechnicals - Dispersion Trap

Comfortable markets, uncomfortable backdrop

Wk22 MacroTechnicals - Bullish Optics, Bearish Reality

AI and Iran deal optimism collides with rising inflation risk and tightening fincon

Wk21 MacroTechnicals - Bloody Car Crash

Risk backdrop has shifted. Fed hike now priced by mid-2027, yields and dollar are moving higher, EMFX and metals started to crack, and equities are literally hanging by a thread of AI leadership

Wk20 MacroTechnicals - Is This The Top?

Stunning rally has challenged my bearish view but energy related risks accompanied by tighter financial conditions with little interest in the left tail argue for caution