Wk35 Weekly MacroTechnicals - Oil Slicks the Long End
Failed Bessentvention, ATH crack spreads, Elevated inflation risks, Debasement skepticism
MT Trading
Wk34 MacroTechnicals - VIX Sleeps While Oil Creeps
Messy thematic signals - easing macro regimes and low VIX clashes with rising commodity prices
Wk33 MacroTechnicals - From Tantrums to Complacency...
Rates calmer but term premium higher, risk sentiment strong but overly complacent?
Wk32 MacroTechnicals - The Credibility Tantrum (That Was)
Long-end tantrum may be done for now
Wk31 MacroTechnicals - 'More' of the Same
Risk view stays bearish: tighter liquidity conditions ongoing AI concerns, weak equity leadership, vol expansion,
Wk30 MacroTechnicals - Disruptive Forces
US–Iran escalation. AI competition.
Wk29 MacroTechnicals - A Crude Awakening
Meaningful risk of bearish regime-shift
Wk28 MacroTechnicals - Hawkwardly Optimistic
Tension between tighter liquidity and positive sentiment continues...
Wk27 MacroTechnicals - The Price of Exceptionalism
Quarter-end review and just more of the same risks - AI capex and model commoditisation, strong growth and inflation, and tigher fincon
Wk26 MacroTechnicals - No Breadth of Fresh Air
Equities firm but leadership narrows as the Fed’s hawkish turn erodes breadth. Beneath the surface, Tighter conditions and AI-profit risks point to a fragile medium-term outlook.
Wk25 MacroTechnicals - Sticky Landing
Deal-on Risk-on is back, yields lower, but don't think the market will be Warshing away hiking risks too soon
Wk24 MacroTechnicals - Trimmed Gets Mean
If CPI confirms bleed through into core, there is nothing Warsh can say or do to convince the market otherwise