Weekly G8 FX Notes — 2021/05/10
If CPI confirms bleed through into core, there is nothing Warsh can say or do to convince the market otherwise
Comfortable markets, uncomfortable backdrop
AI and Iran deal optimism collides with rising inflation risk and tightening fincon
Risk backdrop has shifted. Fed hike now priced by mid-2027, yields and dollar are moving higher, EMFX and metals started to crack, and equities are literally hanging by a thread of AI leadership