Week40 MacroTechnicals - Expectations Collidies With Shifting Macro
Market expectations are colliding with shifting economic data, policy uncertainty, and geopolitical risks that together, may well set the tone for the weeks ahead.
Market expectations are colliding with shifting economic data, policy uncertainty, and geopolitical risks that together, may well set the tone for the weeks ahead.
Failed Bessentvention, ATH crack spreads, Elevated inflation risks, Debasement skepticism
Messy thematic signals - easing macro regimes and low VIX clashes with rising commodity prices
Rates calmer but term premium higher, risk sentiment strong but overly complacent?
Long-end tantrum may be done for now