2025.08.19 FX Strategy
Big picture trade ideas
I explore potential themes and tactical opportunities around the major (except JPY and CHF) over the coming weeks, and hopefully the months ahead should some of those views take shape.
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Wk32 MacroTechnicals - The Credibility Tantrum (That Was)
Long-end tantrum may be done for now
Wk31 MacroTechnicals - 'More' of the Same
Risk view stays bearish: tighter liquidity conditions ongoing AI concerns, weak equity leadership, vol expansion,
Wk30 MacroTechnicals - Disruptive Forces
US–Iran escalation. AI competition.
Wk29 MacroTechnicals - A Crude Awakening
Meaningful risk of bearish regime-shift