2022.12.27 Weekly Note
Santa rally vs Year-end volatility
Santa rally vs Year-end volatility
Failed Bessentvention, ATH crack spreads, Elevated inflation risks, Debasement skepticism
Messy thematic signals - easing macro regimes and low VIX clashes with rising commodity prices
Rates calmer but term premium higher, risk sentiment strong but overly complacent?
Long-end tantrum may be done for now