Week40 MacroTechnicals - Expectations Collidies With Shifting Macro
Market expectations are colliding with shifting economic data, policy uncertainty, and geopolitical risks that together, may well set the tone for the weeks ahead.
Market expectations are colliding with shifting economic data, policy uncertainty, and geopolitical risks that together, may well set the tone for the weeks ahead.
Stagflation risks are building and reshaping the macro regime. We assess the current backdrop to examine whether these conditions could be short-lived or likely to persist.
Geopolitical basket and stronger Dollar thesis may still have further to run, and an old discussion with a colleague shapes how I manage my book today.
A long and stretched risk-on cycle now meets fresh war and inflation risks with accelerants in place.