2025.08.19 FX Strategy
Big picture trade ideas
I explore potential themes and tactical opportunities around the major (except JPY and CHF) over the coming weeks, and hopefully the months ahead should some of those views take shape.
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Wk12 MacroTechnicals - If Iran Stands, Trump Doesn't
Stagflation risks are building and reshaping the macro regime. We assess the current backdrop to examine whether these conditions could be short-lived or likely to persist.
Who Is Actually Running the Islamic Republic of Iran Now?
Wk11 MacroTechnicals - Letting The Winners Run
Geopolitical basket and stronger Dollar thesis may still have further to run, and an old discussion with a colleague shapes how I manage my book today.
Wk10 MacroTechnicals - Ballistic Volatility
A long and stretched risk-on cycle now meets fresh war and inflation risks with accelerants in place.