2022.12.12 Weekly Note

Wk12 MacroTechnicals - If Iran Stands, Trump Doesn't

Stagflation risks are building and reshaping the macro regime. We assess the current backdrop to examine whether these conditions could be short-lived or likely to persist.

Who Is Actually Running the Islamic Republic of Iran Now?

Wk11 MacroTechnicals - Letting The Winners Run

Geopolitical basket and stronger Dollar thesis may still have further to run, and an old discussion with a colleague shapes how I manage my book today.

Wk10 MacroTechnicals - Ballistic Volatility

A long and stretched risk-on cycle now meets fresh war and inflation risks with accelerants in place.